"Like the empire of the world unite / We are alive / And the stars make love to the universe / You're my wild fire every single night / We are alive / And the stars make love to the universe / And you touch me / And I'm like and I'm like and I'm like / Oooo Oooo..."
-Shakira on "Empire"
Coming off of a stellar start on day 1, Shakira's 2nd single from her upcoming eponymous 10th studio album, "Empire", continues to prove its success. On Tuesday (day 2 of release), the single added a monstrous 25 points (+19%) for a large two day haul of 46 spins. Today's total is about even with Shakira's own "Can't Remember to Forget You (feat. Rihanna)", which had a day 2 total of 26 points. Though "Empire" had a slightly smaller 2nd day haul than the previously mentioned single (-4%), it pulled a much more successful 46 spins through the first two days of tracking combined (vs. 34; +35%).
As for day 3, "Empire" seems to be ahead of the curve. Most large profile pop tracks typically experience a 20% gain to a 10% drop during day 3 (days 1 and 2 really depend). Despite this, "Empire" had a 20% gain on day 2 (usually uncommon), which leads me to believe it will experience a 20% to 50% drop on day 3 (rather than on day 4). That will mean a day 3 total between 12 and 20 and an overall total between 58 and 66. A total over 60 through the end of day 3 almost guarantees a #1 debut, but slightly under that could result in a lower top 5 position. Based on the prediction for day 3, day 4 will likely see a 10-15 point haul for a range between 68-81. A 5th and final day should give the song roughly another 10-12 points for a range between 78-93.
Last week (which was one of the lowest recorded weeks in terms of points) had set the bar fairly low but almost all songs have spiked considerably this week, which is going to make this a very close race. Additionally, if it debuts at #1 this week it will be the 8th #1 debut in history and the 40th single to top the chart.
Come back tomorrow for another post!
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