Forecast Update: Maroon 5 Takes First Place On Monday, Holds Well On Tuesday

Update: “Maps” again took first place on Tuesday, though its lead wasn’t nearly as significant as it was on Monday. “Maps” edged out “Undo” by 5 points. They earned 24(-27.27%) and 19(+5.55%) points respectively, a respectable hold for both (“Maps” in particular). If “Maps” can hold that lead, it could be on its way to a huge #1 debut of 142 points, which would rank 3^rd all time. That may not actually happen (as it should taper off a bit), but at this point it doesn’t seem that farfetched. Keep you updated.

Initial Report: Though it was first forecasted to round off the week just past 100 points, Maroon 5’s “Maps” over performed on Monday, it’s debut day. The track easily dominated the competition with a massive 33 points earned on its premiere day, 15 points more than the distant second place song: Sanna Nielsen’s “Undo” (18). As most of you know, Nielsen’s “Undo” recently toppled Kiesza’s “Hideaway” to claim the No. 1 spot for the first time last week (rising 2-1). That’s a bit grim for “Undo” which could end up losing the No. 1 slot while gaining in points (last week it was at 119, one of the highest weekly totals already).

Meanwhile, Kiesza’s “Giant In My Heart” dove 2-6, tallying just 11 points on Monday. Its 3-day total stands at 41, which leads me to believe that it will not debut in the top 5 as initially expected. I have lowered my first week estimate from around 105 to 95, a noticeable cut that could potentially cost it a top 10 debut (worst case scenario).

For the First 3 Days of the Tracking Period (Saturday-Monday)

1.“Undo” by Sanna Nielsen (54)

2.“Hideaway” by Kiesza (46)

3.“Fancy (feat. Charli XCX)” by Iggy Azalea (42)

4.“Giant In My Heart” by Kiesza (41)

5.“A Sky Full of Stars” by Coldplay(40)

6.“Pills N Potions” (39)

7.“Rather Be (feat. Jess Glynne)” by Clean Bandit (37)

8.“Love Runs Out” by OneRepublic(37)

9.“A+D” by Vita Chambers (36)

10.“Maps” by Maroon 5 (33)

Chart: June 21st 2012

#	LW	PK	Wks	Name	Artist	Points
1	3	1	9	***NUMBER 1*** Where Have You Been {#1 for 1 Week}	Rihanna	104
2	1	1	4	Euphoria {#1 for 3 Weeks}	Loreen	102
3	21	3	10	***BIGGEST POINT GAIN*** We Run the Night (feat. Pitbull) [Edited]	Havana Brown	101
4	2	2	6	Don’t Wake Me Up	Chris Brown	98
5	4	4	6	Lights (Bassnectar Remix)	Ellie Goulding	96
6	5	5	9	Roc Me Out	Rihanna	95
7	16	7	2	Follow the Leader (feat. Jennifer Lopez)	Wisin & Yandel	93
8	8	1	10	Payphone (feat. Wiz Khalifa){#1 for 4 Weeks}	Maroon 5	92
9	NEW	9	1	***HOT SHOT DEBUT*** One More Night	Maroon 5	91
10	7	3	9	LaserLight (feat. David Guetta)	Jessie J	90
11	6	1	8	Drive By {#1 for 1 Week}	Train	89
12	11	11	3	Titanium (feat. Sia)	David Guetta	83
13	9	9	4	Elephant	Alexandra Burke	82
14	12	6	10	Starships	Nicki Minaj	82
15	13	13	4	Drunk On Love	Rihanna	82
16	10	5	5	Summer of Love (Video Edit)	Cascada	81
17	19	5	10	Call Me Maybe	Carly Rae Jepsen	78
18	NEW	18	1	Primadonna	Marina and the Diamonds	78
19	14	3	8	Scream	Usher	78
20	15	2	10	Good Girl	Carrie Underwood	75
21	17	1	6	Somebody That I Used To Know (feat. Kimbra) [Mizeree Dance Remix] {#1 for 1 Week}	Gotye	73
22	18	2	9	There She Goes (feat. Pitbull)	Taio Cruz	70
23	20	8	9	Wild Ones (feat. Sia)	Flo Rida	64
24	22	3	9	Dance Again (feat. Pitbull)	Jennifer Lopez	64
25	28	25	2	Goin’ In (feat. Flo Rida)	Jennifer Lopez	64
26	37	18	10	Wide Awake	Katy Perry	64
27	25	23	4	Timebomb	Kylie Minogue	64
28	31	2	10	Beautiful Sinner	Nicki Minaj	64
29	23	19	4	Undefeated	Jason Derulo	63
30	22	17	10	We Found Love (feat. Calvin Harris)	Rihanna	63
31	26	26	2	Euphoria	Usher	62
32	27	9	7	Blown Away	Carrie Underwood	61
33	29	23	8	My Shadow	Jessie J	57
34	30	8	9	Dark Side	Kelly Clarkson	57
35	32	4	10	Automatic	Nicki Minaj	56
36	33	17	7	What Makes You Beautiful	One Direction	56
37	34	12	7	Hypnotico	Jennifer Lopez	55
38	35	8	10	Glad You Came	The Wanted	55
39	36	30	4	Blackout	Breathe Carolina	54
40	38	23	5	Where Do We Go (feat. Jamie Foxx)	Pitbull	52