Social Songs 100 Forecast: The Script Leads

 

It's that time of week again! The mid week numbers are finally through, and there's some interesting chemistry going on. Here's my mid week analysis of tracks duking it out on the Social Songs 100. It's going to be one wild week, so remember to keep it here for more news, and don't forget to vote for your favorites of the week by clicking here! See the biggest climbers and highest entries through the mid week point just below.


First led by The Madden Brothers' "We Are Done", this week's Social Songs 100 opened with a faulting start. Last week's top 5 all plummeted downward, most of them landing below #20. Then, things started to get a bit more interesting. Though it had barely missed the top 10 on the Social Songs 100 in the previous frame, Usher's "She Came to Give It To You" quickly dethroned "We Are Done" to reign on the Social Songs 100. Approximately 20 hours later, The Script's "Superheroes" moved 2-1 thanks to a large drive in votes from the Twitter community. On Wednesday things were about even, with Mandy Rain's "Riot" (which ranked at #3 last week) and Sia's "Chandelier" (which held #3 last week) posting the biggest drop offs and R3HAB's collaboration with Nervo and Ayah Marar ("Ready For the Weekend") soaring to #11 just hours after being added. It wasn't until approximately 3 P.M. PST on Thursday afternoon that things got a major turn around.

The Script's "Superheroes" (which was about to drop to #2) posted a huge increase in overall points, bolstered by a massive Twitter frenzy that erupted at around 11 P.M. in Britain (where a majority of the votes came from). The frenzy spurred over 30 retweets and over 40 favorites. That translated into a positive score of 100 (105 up votes and 5 negative votes), the highest for a song to date in the 13 week history of the Social Songs 100. At this point, any given song would need 101 positive votes (and no negatives) to dethrone The Script's song. That is nearly impossible. The current runner up (Maroon 5's "Maps") has a positive score of 0 (19 up votes and 19 down votes), with only 4 songs having scores of 0 or higher this week.

Nick Jonas' "Chains" (which was a mid week debut) is off to an incredibly slow start, currently ranking at #50. It opened at #13 and dropped out of the top 10 as soon as its third vote was cast.

It's also worth noting that lots of European acts tallied large position strides following the outburst of "Superheroes" (a song by a European band). At press time, 7 songs are sung (or partly sung) by a European artist.

Here's the current top 10 and percent index (Red denotes a drop and green denotes increase).

1. "Superheroes" by The Script 1.000
2. "Maps" by Maroon 5 0.000
3. "Boom Clap" by Charli XCX 0.000
4. "I'm Not the Only One" by Sam Smith 0.000
5. "Sing" by Ed Sheeran -0.010
6. "Chandelier" by Sia 0.010 (Positive, so should be #2 but only 7 votes have been cast)
7. "Flashlight" by DJ Fresh and Ellie Goulding -0.010
8. "No Mediocre (feat. Iggy Azalea)" by T.I. -0.010
9. "Strange Enough" by VÉRITÉ -0.010
10. "Black Widow (feat. Rita Ora)" by Iggy Azalea -0.030

Songs Debuting On the Social Songs 100 Next Week
- "Anaconda" by Nicki Minaj
- "Fireball (feat. John Ryan)" by Pitbull
- "Chasing the Sun" by Hillary Duff
- "Bang Bang (feat. Nicki Minaj and Ariana Grande)" by Jessie J
- "Wait On Me" by Rixton
- "Ordinary Human" by OneRepublic
- "It Was Always You" by Maroon 5
and select others!

Come back on Friday for the highlights, on Sunday night for the full chart and early Monday morning to vote in week 14. More posts released randomly throughout.

Any questions? Tweet me here -------> Tweet to @cdschart

Chart Highlights: DJ Fresh Opens Top 20, Vita Chambers Scores 4th Top 5

This was an extremely competitive week on the Hot 50, with over 60 songs having fair shots at claiming spots. But with a chart only 50 positions long, there's bound to be some unfortunate situations. The thing that made this week especially gripping? There was a whole bunch of action over on the Social Songs 100 component chart, which had tons of songs vying for top 10 positions as well as constant rank changes throughout the week. It all came down to the last few hours of voting. Voting came in waves so large that the list saw more votes than the previous two weeks combined, as well as posting the largest volume of views and votes in over two months. The double point multiplier was not unlocked this past week, but as another hot week of voting begins on Monday, it's likely to be unlocked for the very first time.

When all was said and done, DJ Fresh and Ellie Goulding's revamped collaboration ("Flashlight") was crowned the #1 song of the week on the Social Songs 100. With the victory, "Flashlight" became the most approved #1 song in the 3 month history of the component chart with 94% of all votes for the track being counted as positive. That huge social presence translated into a massive debut for the track on the Hot 50. Remember, the Social Songs 100 is just 1 of the 4 main components that combine to create the Hot 50. See exactly where "Flashlight" entered on the Hot 50 after coverage of the top 10.

The Hot 50 chart is counts points from Saturday to Friday and is formulated using the following:

• Official US Radio plays that I listen to count as 1 point each. Referred to as the Radio Songs Chart.
• Plays through my iTunes or Spotify (mainly the former) libraries count as 2 points each. If the track is not available to purchase at a given moment, plays of the track's official audio on Youtube or Soundcloud also count for 2 points each. Referred to as the Streaming Songs Chart.
• The release of a track's official music video sees the song in question receive a one time bonus of 5 points if I watch the video within its first two weeks of release. If a song first charts over two weeks after the video's release, it is eligible to get the five point bonus within its first two weeks of charting. There is no component chart for this category given that it awards a one time bonus.
• The top 10 most voted for songs on the "Vote For Your Favorites of the Week" chart receive points. #1 gets 10 points, #2 gets 9 and so on and so forth. If voting reaches a certain threshold during any given week, the 2x multiplier will be unlocked. If the 2x multiplier is unlocked, #1 gets 20 points (instead of 10), #2 gets 19 points (instead of 9) so on and so forth. #11 gets 10 points (instead of none), and #20 gets 1 point (instead of none). Referred to as the Social Songs 100 Chart.

As I do every weekend, let's dive deeper into the numbers and how things played out on this week's Hot 50 chart.

Maroon 5's "Maps" stays put in first place for a 3rd consecutive week, edging closer to the group's record stay at the summit. The band has sent 4 singles to the top off the Hot 50, totaling a grand total of 9 weeks at the top of the chart. Here's how the breakdown goes:

Weeks - Title - Start of Reign

4 Weeks at #1 - "Payphone (feat. Wiz Khalifa)" - April 19th, 2012

3 Weeks at #1 - "Maps" - July 10th, 2014

1 Week at #1 - "Love Somebody" - September 20th, 2012

1 Week at #1 - "One More Night" - September 13th, 2012

Back to "Maps", the track tacks another week on the summit bolstered by major strides on component charts. Additionally, its two biggest competitors decline in points this week. In other words, "Maps" holds the summit with a comfortable lead. With "Maps" posting a gain and Kiesza's "Hideaway" dipping approximately 2%, Maroon 5 holds the top position with a 12% lead. Last week, a mere 7.5% separated the two tracks.

With 135 all format points counted this week, the track gains by approximately 3% (+2.96%) which suggests "Maps" will lead for a large amount of time than originally anticipated. The cut leads Pop Songs for a third week, holds at #2 on Streaming Songs for a second straight week and bullets yet again at #1 on Radio Songs (which it has lead for a 5 consecutive weeks). The track descends 1-7 on the Social Songs 100 after just a single week on top. Additionally, "Maps" spends a 3rd frame atop Adult Pop Songs and a 5th week atop Adult Songs.

To date (including this frame), Maroon 5 has notched a cumulative total of 8 weeks at #1 on the Hot 50 since 2012 across 4 entries (out of 8 top 10s). Maroon 5's previous 7 top 5 hits are as follows: the #1 peaking "Payphone (feat. Wiz Khalifa)", the #1 peaking "One More Night", the #1 peaking "Love Somebody", the #3 peaking "Lucky Strike", the #5 peaking "Doin' Dirt", the #5 peaking "Daylight" and the #5 peaking "Moves Like Jagger (feat. Christina Aguilera)". With just under 250 points through its 5th frame, "Maps" is already on pace to wind up with a total past 900, with a 2x Platinum certification (1250+ points) within reach. That would put it between "Payphone" and "One More Night", as the band's second biggest single to date (2012-present).

Kiesza's "Hideaway" holds strong in 2nd place for a sixth week. The track, which spent its first 6 weeks at #1, has logged 12 consecutive weeks with the top 2. While that's nowhere bear the record, it's worth noting that only one other song has achieved more weeks in the region in all of 2014: OneRepublic's "Counting Stars" previously spent a massive 13 weeks in the area, with a record 11 of those being at #2. Amazingly, Kiesza still holds the second longest running #1 debut (behind the 11 non-consecutive week run of "Applause") as well as the only song to rack 100 points or more for 12 weeks, further extending its record lead (it surpassed "Do What U Want" after its third week past 100) though that's not saying much given that every track in the top 10 wound up past 100 points this week. Currently, "Hideaway" is ranked as the #1 song of the summer as the annual competition enters its eighth week, furthering its lead over Sanna Nielsen's "Undo" (which held the #1 seasonal slot to date for 3 weeks).

Kiesza's "Giant In My Heart" holds at its #3 peak position for a 2nd consecutive week to notch its 4th week within the top 10. Previously, her debut single "Hideaway" reached the summit of the Hot 50 chart for 6 consecutive weeks at #1. With 124 points scored this week, the track barely slipped into the #3 position this week. At this point, it is highly likely that "Giant" winds up taking the #1 position from the current leader (Maroon 5's "Maps") within the next few weeks. That would make it Kiesza's second #1 single. At this rate, Kiesza's "Giant In My Heart" could end up joining "Hideaway" in the Summer Songs top 10. We'll know more about where it could rank in a few weeks, as the competition is just beginning its second half.

Sanna Nielsen's "Undo" holds tight at #4 on the CDS Music Chart Hot 50's summit after reigning at #1 for 3 consecutive frames, which tied Loreen's "Euphoria" as the longest reigning #1 hit from any edition of the Eurovision Song Contest (coincidentally, both female artists represented Sweden in the annual competition). This week, "Undo" slides to 122 points, a 3 point drop. With its continued slip, "Undo" continues to fall below Kiesza's "Hideaway" in terms of overall points in the 2014 Summer Songs competition. As of the eigth week of summer tracking, "Undo" is now the #2 best performing track of the season (Kiesza's "Hideaway" shifts to 345 points, to continue holding the #1 seasonal rank).

Vita Chambers' "A+D" ascends 10-5 to become the Canadian artist's  4th consecutive top 5 single. The track follows Vita's "Fix You, "Masquerade" and "What If?" (which peaked at numbers 1, 2 and 3 respectively), which all hit the region between December 2012 and October 2013. The track posts this week's biggest top 10 increase courtesy of a 43-3 blast on the Social Songs 100 (which gives the track an 8 point bonus) as well as a 5 point boost thanks to the release of the track's official video.  While "A+D" was the only Vita Chambers song to not debut within the top 10, the track has clearly made up for it with this surge. With this frame, it spends a fifth week past 100 points and a 6th overall week in the top 10.

In 6th and 7th place, Nico & Vinz and Sia each advance one position with their singles "Am I Wrong" (7-6) and "Chandelier" (8-7) respectively. Nico & Vinz's track shifts upwards in overall chart points, and shuffles up on several genre based and component charts thanks to its lift. It bounds 4-3 on Pop Songs, 8-4 on Radio Songs, 5-3 on Adult Songs and 4-2 on Adult Pop Songs. Sia's power pop single is also up in overall chart points while making huge strides on the Social Songs 100 (18-5). The track additionally bumps 9-3 on Radio Songs, bounds 5-4 on Pop Songs, 6-4 on Adult Songs and 5-3 on Adult Pop Songs. It has also become Sia's second most successful single to date (after her collaboration with David Guetta, "Titanium", which ended up hitting the #1 position for two consecutive frames), outing her collaboration with Flo Rida's "Wild Ones" (which peaked at #8 on the Hot 50 for just a single frame).

After spending 4 weeks within the top 5, Clean Bandit's "Rather Be (feat. Jess Glynne)" drops 5-8 on this week's Hot 50. Out of its 23 weeks on the chart, the track has spent 14 non-consecutive weeks in the top 10. It previously tallied two weeks at #9 toward the start of its run and a total of five non-consecutive weeks at #10 (a record tying total). Katy Perry's "Dark Horse (feat. Juicy J)" first strung together 5 non-consecutive weeks at #10 between December 2013 and February 2014. Given the track's impressively strong track record (and decent hold this week), "Rather Be" will likely close past 1000 chart points (it passes 925 points this week), which ranks as the #4 best performing single of the year to date.

Iggy Azalea's "Fancy (feat. Charli XCX)" drops 6-9 after spending the past month stalled at #6. This week it racks up a 9th week within in the top 10, still marking gains on the chart. Additionally, it makes noticeable strides on Radio and Streaming components. It leads Hip-Hop/Rap Songs for a 11th straight week, though it slips considerably on the Social Songs 100. It should be on pace for an 12th week at #1 on Hip-Hop/Rap Songs, given the fact that its biggest competitor (Nicki Minaj's "Pills N Potions") drops 1 rung to #15 this week.

After 4 weeks between #11-14, Disclosure's "Latch (feat. Sam Smith)" returns to the upper tier for the first time in just over a month. The Electronic hit previously peaked at #3, and spent 3 weeks at #4 (the most weeks at the same position for the track). The track's fantastic hold can be mainly attributed to its massive presence at United States radio and its massive move on the Social Songs 100. The single will easily wind up becoming one of the biggest successes of the summer and possibly of the entire year. "Latch" will likely become one of the biggest dance tracks of the year, and has a shot at becoming a heavily nominated track at the 2014 CDS Music Chart Year End Awards.

Just outside the top 10, DJ Fresh and Ellie Goulding team together to launch "Flashlight" (a revamped version of the original Halcyon Days track from 2013), which enters the CDS Music Chart Hot 50 at #19, barely debuting within the top 20. The track becomes Ellie Goulding's 10th charting single, and 9th top 20 single. It's also DJ Fresh's first track to debut on the Hot 50 (though he has gotten close 5 times prior, most recently with his "Dibby Dibby Sound" in February 2014). Up and coming American alternative/indie-pop artist (well actually her genre is an amazing combination of a whole bunch of sub genres; you need to give her a listen) VÉRITÉ debuts as the second highest entry with her first ever single "Strange Enough". Other entries include "We Are Done" by The Madden Brothers, "Right Here" by Jess Glynne and "Only Love Can Hurt Like This" by Paloma Faith on the lower end of the Hot 50.

New Debuts:
- "Flashlight" by DJ Fresh & Ellie Goulding (1st entry; Ellie's 10th entry)
- "Strange Enough" by VÉRITÉ (1st entry)
- "We Are Done" by The Madden Brothers (1st entry)
- "Right Here" by Jess Glynne (3rd entry)
- "Only Love Can Hurt Like This" by Paloma Faith (1st entry)

Genre Based Top 5's:

Pop Songs
#1(=) "Maps" by Maroon 5 (2 weeks @ #1)
#2(=) "Undo" by Sanna Nielsen (5 weeks @ #1)
#3(+1) "Am I Wrong" by Nico & Vinz
#4(+1) "Chandelier" by Sia
#5(-2) "Fancy (feat. Charli XCX)" by Iggy Azalea

Notable Debut: "Strange Enough" by VÉRITÉ

Hip-Hop/Rap Songs
#1(=) "Fancy (feat. Charli XCX)" by Iggy Azalea (11 weeks @ #1)
#2(=) "Problem (feat. Iggy Azalea)" by Ariana Grande
#3(=) "Pills N Potions" by Nicki Minaj
#4(=) "She Came To Give It To Yo (feat. Nicki Minaj)" by Usher
#5(=) "No Mediocre (feat. Iggy Azalea)" by T.I.

Notable Debut: "0 to 100 / The Catch Up" by Drake

Dance Songs
#1(=) "Hideaway" by Kiesza (8 weeks @ #1)
#2(=) "Giant In My Heart" by Kiesza
#3(=) "Undo" by Sanna Nielsen (3 week @ #1)
#4(+1) "Chandelier" by Sia
#5(-1) "Rather Be (feat. Jess Glynne)" by Clean Bandit

Notable Debut: "Flashlight" by DJ Fresh & Ellie Goulding

Electronic Songs
#1(=) "Hideaway" by Kiesza (11 weeks @ #1)
#3(=) "Giant In My Heart" by Kiesza
#2(=) "Rather Be (feat. Jess Glynne)" by Clean Bandit (7 weeks @ #1)
#4(=) "Latch (feat. Sam Smith)" by Disclosure (5 weeks @ #1)
#4(=) "Do It Again" by Röyksopp & Robyn

Notable Debut: "Flashlight" by DJ Fresh & Ellie Goulding

On The Bubble/Next Up:
New tracks you'll see on the chart soon.
#51(NEW) "0 to 100 / The Catch Up" by Drake
#52(NEW) "Right Here" by Jess Glynne
#53(=) "Big Girls Cry" by Sia
#54(-2) "Go (feat. Blood Diamonds)" by Grimes
#55(=) "Stolen Dance" by Milky Chance
#56(NEW) "Gecko (Overdrive)" by Becky Hill
#57(-1) "Bo$$" by Fifth Harmony
#58(NEW) "Black Widow (feat. Rita Ora)" by Iggy Azalea
#59(=) "Rainbow" by Sanna Nielsen
#60(-9) "A.K.A (feat. T.I.)" by Jennifer Lopez

Out:
X (54) "Flipside" by Lana Del Rey
X (57) "Photograph" by Ed Sheeran
X (60) "Afire Love" by Ed Sheeran

In the Mix:
Tracks that are just starting to surge in popularity. You'll see 'em on the Hot 50 real soon! Bold indicates that the track is one of the largest movers of the week. Red tracks are falling off.

- "Sing" by Ed Sheeran
- "Lovers On the Sun" by David Guetta
- "Go (feat. Blood Diamonds)" by Grimes
- "Big Girls Cry" by Sia
- "Thinking Out Loud" by Ed Sheeran
- "One" by Ed Sheeran
- "Afire Love" by Ed Sheeran
- "Photograph" by Ed Sheeran
- "Ghost" by Ella Henderson
- "UP!" by Samantha Jade
- "We Are Done" by The Madden Brothers
- "Bartender" by Lady Antebellum
- "Hurricane" by Alyssa Reid
- "A.K.A (feat. T.I.)" by Jennifer Lopez
- "Another's Arms" by Coldplay
- "Rainbow" by Sanna Nielsen
- "Classic" by MKTO
- "Cellophane" by Sia
- "Waves" by Mr. Probz
- "Right Here" by Jess Glynne
- "Gecko (Overdrive)" by Becky Hill
- "Battle Cry" by Imagine Dragons
- "First Love" by Jennifer Lopez
- "Black Widow (feat. Rita Ora)" by Iggy Azalea
- "Turn Down For What (feat. Lil Jon)" by DJ Snake
- "Bo$$" by Fifth Harmony

Falling Off:
- "Try" by Colbie Calliat
- "Flipside" by Lana Del Rey
- "Smoke (feat. Trey Songz)" by 50 Cent
- "Eye of the Needle" by Sia
- "Gore & Glory" by Lorde
- "A.K.A (feat. T.I.)" by Jennifer Lopez
- "Extraordinary (feat. Sharna Bass)" by Clean Bandit
- "Rainmaker" by Emmelie De Forest

Voter's Top 10:
The top 10 most approved songs by the public across all platforms. Red tracks didn't reach the Hot 50 this week. Bolded tracks debuted on the Hot 50. Italicized tracks were on Hot 50 last week and are listed again. Vote for your favorites each week.

#1(NEW) "Flashlight" by DJ Fresh and Ellie Goulding
#2(+74) "Riot" by Mandy Rain
#3(+40) "A+D" by Vita Chambers
#4(NEW) "Strange Enough" by VÉRITÉ
#5(+13) "Chandelier" by Sia
#6(+11) "Problem (feat. Iggy Azalea)" by Ariana Grande
#7(-6) "Maps" by Maroon 5
#8(+76) "Ghost" by Ella Henderson
#9(+6) "If I Go" by Ella Eyre
#10(+9) "Hideaway" by Kiesza

Top 10 Dropouts:
#11(-1) "Pills N Potions" by Nicki Minaj
#13(-4) "Giant In My Heart" by Kiesza
#15(-9) "Fancy (feat. Charli XCX)" by Iggy Azalea
#19(-13) "Dare (La La La)/La La La" by Shakira
#21(-19) "No Mediocre (feat. Iggy Azalea)" by T.I.
#22(-17) "Boom Clap" by Charli XCX
#25(-18) "Satisfaction Guaranteed" by Alyssa Reid
#44(-31) "Ultraviolence" by Lana Del Rey*
#59(-52) "West Coast" by Lana Del Rey
#35(-27) "Rise Like A Phoenix" by Conchita Wurst
#36(-32) "First Love" by Jennifer Lopez*
#37(-36) "Break Free (feat. Zedd)" by Ariana Grande

*Charted prior to this week.

Come back for more posts!

Social Songs 100 Forecast: Oliver Heldens x Becky Hill and DJ Fresh x Ellie Goulding Among Top Debuts

We've already covered the Hot 50 forecast, so it's time to look at which songs are burning up the Social Songs 100. It's going to be one wild week, so remember to keep it here for more news, and don't forget to vote for your favorites of the week by clicking here! See the biggest climbers and highest entries through the mid week point just below.

Hot 50 Forecast: Vita Chambers For Top 5, VÉRITÉ and DJ Fresh For Top Openings

With the week halfway over, and 3 days left to go, let's take a look at just how well (or poorly) tracks are doing relative to their position last week. Remember, nothing is confirmed just yet. All ranks will be finalized this weekend. Additionally, there has been some slight confusion: the chart dated July 17th was supposed to be uploaded at the end of last week, but with a newly updated format and a major reconstruction of the video component, things got a little hectic. All data below reflects songs impacting or moving on the chart dated July 24th (sorry for the confusion). Another post will reflect the first 3 days of the Social Songs 100 (previously titled the Voter's Top 100). Said post will arrive tomorrow, given that the Social Songs 100 only counts data Monday through Friday. Other than that, here we go!

CDS Picks: Paloma Faith, VÉRITÉ Launch

Welcome back to another installment in the wildly popular CDS Picks feature. This time, I'm focusing on new recordings by Paloma Faith, VÉRITÉ, DJ Fresh, Ellie Goulding, Jess Glynne and more (which will be covered in part 2). Have more picks for this week? Just tweet me them and I'll give them a spin? Maybe they'll be make next week's rundown.

Paloma Faith - "Only Love Can Hurt Like This"
Alongside its official release in the United States as the debut single from Paloma Faith, "Only Love Can Hurt Like This" comes under my radar for the first time. While it has been burning up the charts across the pond, neither it nor Paloma Faith herself have been promoted much in the United States. That's all about to change. "Only Love Can Hurt Like This" (which made its bow on the Social Songs Chart this week) is likely to make an appearance on the chart dated July 24th. Watch the official video below. Stay tuned, and vote for this song as your favorite of the week here.



VÉRITÉ - "Strange Enough"
She hasn't been around that long, but she's already making waves with her first ever single: "Strange Enough". American singer VÉRITÉ (currently based in New York) has received critical acclaim for her first major single... and for good reason too. "Strange Enough" blends multiple styles together in a way that doesn't seem overly fake or natural. Alternative, pop, electronic and dance notes can be heard throughout this masterpiece. For a limited time, you can download the track for free via VÉRITÉ's official Soundcloud page. It will then be released as an Amazon.com exclusive single. Hear the track and download it for free below. Vote for this song as your favorite of the week here.

DJ Fresh & Ellie Goulding - "Flashlight"
I wasn't that fond of the original version of this song, but this new version is actually something that could end up charting. The new version is shortened, more danceable and just more accessible overall. The track is now being branded as a DJ Fresh song (instead of a Ellie Goulding song) and will be released for purchase in mid September on the iTunes store. I'm rooting for this one, and I'm pretty confident that it will be a massive success around the world. Expect it to chart on the lower side of the scale this week. Hear the world premiere of the track below. Vote for this song as your favorite of the week here.



Jess Glynne - "Right Here"
It may not have reached the #1 position on the Official UK Singles chart, but that really doesn't matter to me. Jess Glynne's "Right Here" is a massive new release that deserves more attention than it will ever get. Following up from her stints on Route 94 and Clean Bandit tracks ("My Love" and "Rather Be" respectively), Glynne doesn't cut corners. "Right Here" is a cleverly crafted pop track with some clear electronic and deep house vibes. It is just the right consistency. Watch the video for the track below. Vote for this song as your favorite of the week here.




Come back for part 2 of this special double length CDS Picks!